{"id":33921,"date":"2026-10-07T00:12:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T00:12:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/07\/herd-hierarchy-whos-the-nfls-new-no-1-bills-slide-as-falcons-colts-rise\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T00:12:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T00:12:07","slug":"herd-hierarchy-whos-the-nfls-new-no-1-bills-slide-as-falcons-colts-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/07\/herd-hierarchy-whos-the-nfls-new-no-1-bills-slide-as-falcons-colts-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"Herd Hierarchy: Who&#8217;s The NFL&#8217;s New No. 1? Bills Slide As Falcons, Colts Rise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A week ago, Colin Cowherd said the Buffalo Bills were the best team in football. Now, they&#8217;re not even in his top five after a sloppy performance in a loss to the New England Patriots. His latest Herd Hierarchy features a new team at No. 1, a five-spot drop for Buffalo and three fresh additions to the top 10: the Dallas Cowboys, the Atlanta Falcons and the Indianapolis Colts, a team Cowherd admits he likes even if nobody else does. The Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions and Las Vegas Raiders all fell out of the rankings, and the 4-0 Minnesota Vikings were left out entirely. Here are Cowherd&#8217;s Week 4 Herd Hierarchy rankings: Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: Listen, I don&#8217;t like their coaching staff, but I&#8217;ll put the Dallas Cowboys in there. They gave up 7.6 yards per play to Houston, but I&#8217;ll say this: Dak Prescott&#8217;s pass protection, Javonte Williams, CeeDee Lamb. When Dak is targeting CeeDee Lamb this year, he completes 80% of his throws with a 141 passer rating. So it&#8217;s a very lopsided football team. They don&#8217;t make enough stops. They get gashed. But just based on this offense \u2014 and it is an offensive league \u2014 I&#8217;m going to put Dallas at No. 10. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: Nobody likes Indianapolis. I like Indianapolis. They got gashed in their opener against the Ravens, and then they faced the new offense of the Chiefs, so the stats make you think they&#8217;re a bad team. But their defense is getting better. I get Tyler Warren, I get Jonathan Taylor. Now, Daniel Jones has seven giveaways. That&#8217;s always going to be a problem. It&#8217;s why they&#8217;re not a high-end playoff team. But I like the roster with Shane Steichen and Daniel Jones starting. They&#8217;re averaging 28 points a game. I like the composition of their roster. That Ravens game is still screwing up all their stats. They look like the worst defense ever. I don&#8217;t think they are. I think they&#8217;re getting better. I have the Colts at nine. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: I don&#8217;t think the Falcons are a mirage. Bijan Robinson is arguably the best running back in the game. Drake London&#8217;s a top-five or six receiver. Kevin Stefanski is a brilliant offensive guy. The Falcons have had an above-average offensive line for years. They finally have a conductor in Stefanski, and Michael Penix. Now, are they too reliant on Bijan Robinson? Yeah, he&#8217;s 66% of the offense, but it&#8217;s an offensive league. The pass protection is good. You&#8217;ve got a star running back and a star wideout. Are they average defensively? Yeah, but unlike Dallas, I like the head coach. The Falcons are not a mirage. I&#8217;m happy for Penix in Atlanta. I have them at No. 8. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: The stats make you think they&#8217;re undefeated. They&#8217;re No. 2 in total offense, but only 18th in scoring. Some of that is, I think, Matthew Stafford can be a little streaky. He doesn&#8217;t give you a lot of juice, energy or mobility. If you get into a third-and-long, every defensive back and every edge rusher knows where he&#8217;s going to be seven steps later. They&#8217;re still the favorites to win the Super Bowl, although I have them seventh-best. The offense leads the NFL with four games of over 400 yards. Again, the stats are amazing. The defense has allowed an NFL-low five plays of over 20 yards. So what&#8217;s wrong? I think their offense can stall out because you get no mobility at quarterback\u2026 They&#8217;re one of the only teams with a pure pocket quarterback, and sometimes their offense goes through real quarter-to-quarter-and-a-half-long lulls. I have the Rams at seven. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: The Bills have gotten really, really sloppy, and two of their three wins have come against the 0-4 Chargers and the 0-4 Texans. So I think the cynicism is warranted. They&#8217;re averaging 32 points a game, so you think, &#8220;Oh, this is beautiful.&#8221; But do they need guardrails? Do they miss Sean McDermott&#8217;s conservative play-calling? They&#8217;ve allowed 29-plus points in three of their four games. Anybody who&#8217;s a critic of them, you&#8217;re winning right now. They&#8217;re sloppy with an offensive head coach, and the defense doesn&#8217;t do much on the back end. I have them at No. 6. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: I trust Ben Johnson and the Bears. I also think the Bears are playing better than their personnel defensively. And here&#8217;s the thing about the Bears: Their time of possession is absolutely insane. They&#8217;ve had the ball 53 more minutes than their opponents this season. They&#8217;re just dominating time of possession. That&#8217;s why the Bears&#8217; defense, to me, is overachieving. It&#8217;s incredibly well-rested. It&#8217;s mostly healthy. They&#8217;ve drafted a couple of guys who are making small impacts. I think Chicago is an example of great coaching and complementary football hiding what could be an average defense if it were on the field a lot. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: Do I trust them in the playoffs? Well, they lead the NFL in turnover differential and are second in point differential. This is all about a young, talented quarterback finally getting his conductor, Liam Coen. I&#8217;ll say this about their defense: They&#8217;ve held opponents to 20 points or fewer in all four games, and for a warm-weather team, they&#8217;re a physical football team. Trevor Lawrence is 9-1 in his last 10 starts. He used to put the ball on the carpet more. He was a little loose. He was a little bit of what Josh Allen&#8217;s been the last couple of weeks: no guardrails. Liam Coen has provided those. Travis Hunter, by the way, is on the right side of the ball. We always said you can&#8217;t show up twice a week to a wide receiver meeting and be effective. Put him on defense. Let him return kicks. The kid&#8217;s one of the top 10 athletes in the NFL. The Jags have figured out how to use Travis Hunter. I have them at four. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: Like I said about Atlanta, it&#8217;s not a mirage. Kansas City is very, very good. They&#8217;re 2-0 on the road, and both sides of the ball are extremely well-coached. Now they&#8217;ve got some wide receiver injuries with Rashee Rice and (Tyquan) Thornton. So do you do something at the trade deadline? Do you bring back Tyreek Hill? You worry a little bit about that, but they&#8217;ve had wide receiver injury issues for years. They&#8217;ve gone three straight games without a sack. Do they address that? Can they at the trade deadline? Their hole is that they don&#8217;t put consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. That&#8217;s why it feels like a guy like Daniel Jones can light them up. But I have them at three. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: They&#8217;re like last year. Turnovers, 14 penalties and 150 penalty yards against the Chargers, but they find a way to win. That&#8217;s kind of what Seattle is. They&#8217;re very young, and they can be a little mistake-prone at quarterback or with penalties. But man, turn the sound down. Depth, speed, twitchiness. They&#8217;ve scored 30-plus points in three straight games, and they allow four yards per play. It just looks different. Unlike the Texans, whose defense has vanished, Seattle&#8217;s defense looks as good as it did last year. Cowherd&#8217;s thoughts: I don&#8217;t know how long it lasts, but right now, the 49ers have 16 offensive touchdowns, with three-plus in every game. Advanced metrics say Brock Purdy&#8217;s the best quarterback ever. That may change after a trip to the Pacific Northwest. Now again, Kyle Juszczyk is banged up. You cross your fingers. It&#8217;s an older roster, but when healthy, George Kittle and Fred Warner are not only great players, they&#8217;re great leaders. Trent Williams, Christian McCaffrey, Kyle Shanahan, Purdy. This may be one of the best locker rooms in the league in terms of player leadership.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week ago, Colin Cowherd said the Buffalo Bills were the best team in football. Now, they&#8217;re not even in his top five after a sloppy performance in a loss to the New England Patriots. His latest Herd Hierarchy features a new team at No. 1, a five-spot drop for Buffalo and three fresh additions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33921"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33921"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33921\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlinebettingnewyork.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}