2026 NFL Odds: Books Expect Jaguars Expected To Regress

It’s unclear as to why, but Jacksonville is expected to underwhelm in 2026. The Jaguars were borderline dominant last regular season, winning their last eight games to total 13 victories on the season. However, they lost at home to the Bills in the wild-card round, and all that success was for naught. What will 2026 look like? Let’s check out the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Aug. 5. This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS ODDS Regular-season wins Over 8.5: -140 Under 8.5: +116 WHAT TO KNOW: As mentioned, the Jags won 13 games last season, the second-most in the NFL behind the Broncos, Seahawks and Patriots, who all had 14. But entering this season, their win total is all the way down to 8.5. Could it have to do with the schedule? On paper, they have the 11th-hardest schedule in 2026. They are at Denver in Week 2, host New England in Week 3, at Cincinnati in Week 4 and face Philly (London) in Week 5. Jacksonville is also at Baltimore in Week 9 and at Chicago in Week 13. Also consider this: Six of Jacksonville’s 13 wins last year came by seven points or fewer. In addition, last year was just the second time Jacksonville won double-digit games in the last 18 years. AFC South wins Over 3.5: +140Under 3.5: -175 WHAT TO KNOW: Jacksonville won the division last season by a single game over Houston, but the two teams had the same record in-division (5-1). It was the third time the Jags won the division in the last 26 years. It split with Houston last season, with both teams beating the other by seven points. More wins than Cowboys: +120Bears: +135Texans: +150Chargers: +165Packers: +16549ers: +175Eagles: +180Bengals: +180Chiefs: +200Lions: +220Bills: +240Ravens: +280Rams: +380 WHAT TO KNOW: As mentioned, only three teams had more wins than the Jags. One of those teams won the Super Bowl, one of those teams lost in the Super Bowl and the other lost in the AFC title game. However, entering this year (excluding those three teams), each of the teams on the list above is favored to win more games than Jacksonville, despite the Jags winning more games than all of them last season. The Cowboys had just seven wins last season, and the Bengals and Chiefs each only had six. Trevor Lawrence regular-season passing yards Over 3,774.5: -105Under 3,774.5: -115 Trevor Lawrence regular-season passing TDs Over 25.5: -110Under 25.5: -110 WHAT TO KNOW: Surprisingly, Lawrence has only made the Pro Bowl once in his five-year career, and did not make it last season, despite the Jags having a stellar season. He completed 60.9% of his passes for 4,007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 picks last year. He’s surpassed 3,774 passing yards three times in his career. He threw for 3,641 yards as a rookie, and he threw for 2,045 in 10 games in 2024. He’s only reached 25 passing TDs twice in his career.